2023 Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023, 4:00 PM · Spartan Stadium
Nebraska @ Michigan State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Nebraska
23.7
Michigan State
23.4
Michigan State win probability: 49%
Margin (Michigan State − Nebraska): -0.3 (80% range -20 to 20)
Total: 47.1 (80% range 26 to 69)
Actual: Nebraska 17 – Michigan State 20 (margin error 3.3, total error 10.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.75% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.