2023 Week 10 · Nov 2, 2023, 11:30 PM · Wallace Wade Stadium
Wake Forest @ Duke
Predicted scoreLikely
Wake Forest
20.8
Duke
31.4
Duke win probability: 74%
Margin (Duke − Wake Forest): 10.6 (80% range -10 to 31)
Total: 52.2 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Wake Forest 21 – Duke 24 (margin error 7.6, total error 7.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.