2023 Week 10 · Nov 2, 2023, 11:00 PM · Jones AT&T Stadium
TCU @ Texas Tech
Predicted scoreToss-up
TCU
28.4
Texas Tech
29.4
Texas Tech win probability: 53%
Margin (Texas Tech − TCU): 1.1 (80% range -20 to 21)
Total: 57.8 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: TCU 28 – Texas Tech 35 (margin error 5.9, total error 5.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.57% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.