Predicted scoreToss-up
Oregon
27.9
Utah
25.8
Utah win probability: 45%
Margin (Utah − Oregon): -2.2 (80% range -22 to 18)
Total: 53.7 (80% range 30 to 79)
Actual: Oregon 35 – Utah 6 (margin error 26.8, total error 12.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.