2023 Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023, 4:00 PM · Bill Snyder Family Stadium

Houston @ Kansas State

Predicted scoreLikely

Houston

21.7

Kansas State

37.7

Kansas State win probability: 84%

Margin (Kansas State − Houston): 16.0 (80% range -4 to 37)

Total: 59.4 (80% range 35 to 85)

Actual: Houston 0 – Kansas State 41 (margin error 25.0, total error 18.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.