Predicted scoreLikely
UCLA
31.6
Stanford
19.3
Stanford win probability: 22%
Margin (Stanford − UCLA): -12.2 (80% range -32 to 7)
Total: 50.9 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: UCLA 42 – Stanford 7 (margin error 22.8, total error 1.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.