2023 Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023, 11:00 PM · Bill Snyder Family Stadium

TCU @ Kansas State

Predicted scoreLean

TCU

24.7

Kansas State

30.6

Kansas State win probability: 64%

Margin (Kansas State − TCU): 5.9 (80% range -14 to 27)

Total: 55.3 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: TCU 3 – Kansas State 41 (margin error 32.1, total error 11.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.