Predicted scoreLean
BYU
24.1
TCU
30.8
TCU win probability: 66%
Margin (TCU − BYU): 6.6 (80% range -14 to 28)
Total: 54.9 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: BYU 11 – TCU 44 (margin error 26.4, total error 0.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.59% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.