2024 Postseason · Dec 29, 2024, 2:15 AM · Independence Stadium (neutral site)

Louisiana Tech @ Army

Predicted scoreToss-up

Louisiana Tech

20.4

Army

23.0

Army win probability: 57%

Margin (Army − Louisiana Tech): 2.6 (80% range -17 to 21)

Total: 43.4 (80% range 23 to 65)

Actual: Louisiana Tech 6 – Army 27 (margin error 18.4, total error 10.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.