Predicted scoreLikely
Texas A&M
21.8
Tennessee
32.9
Tennessee win probability: 76%
Margin (Tennessee − Texas A&M): 11.1 (80% range -10 to 32)
Total: 54.7 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Texas A&M 13 – Tennessee 20 (margin error 4.1, total error 21.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.