2023 Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023, 4:00 PM · SHI Stadium
Michigan State @ Rutgers
Predicted scoreToss-up
Michigan State
21.3
Rutgers
24.5
Rutgers win probability: 59%
Margin (Rutgers − Michigan State): 3.3 (80% range -17 to 23)
Total: 45.8 (80% range 24 to 69)
Actual: Michigan State 24 – Rutgers 27 (margin error 0.3, total error 5.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.85% |
| 14 | 14 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.