2023 Week 7 · Oct 12, 2023, 11:00 PM · TDECU Stadium
West Virginia @ Houston
Predicted scoreLean
West Virginia
31.9
Houston
27.1
Houston win probability: 39%
Margin (Houston − West Virginia): -4.8 (80% range -26 to 16)
Total: 59.0 (80% range 34 to 85)
Actual: West Virginia 39 – Houston 41 (margin error 6.8, total error 21.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.57% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.