2023 Week 7 · Oct 10, 2023, 11:30 PM · AmFirst Stadium
Liberty @ Jacksonville State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Liberty
27.6
Jacksonville State
26.3
Jacksonville State win probability: 47%
Margin (Jacksonville State − Liberty): -1.4 (80% range -22 to 20)
Total: 53.9 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Liberty 31 – Jacksonville State 13 (margin error 16.6, total error 9.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.59% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.