Predicted scoreLikely
Kentucky
18.9
Georgia
33.3
Georgia win probability: 82%
Margin (Georgia − Kentucky): 14.4 (80% range -5 to 35)
Total: 52.2 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Kentucky 13 – Georgia 51 (margin error 23.6, total error 11.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.71% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.