2023 Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023, 7:30 PM · Rynearson Stadium
Ball State @ Eastern Michigan
Predicted scoreToss-up
Ball State
23.2
Eastern Michigan
23.0
Eastern Michigan win probability: 49%
Margin (Eastern Michigan − Ball State): -0.3 (80% range -20 to 20)
Total: 46.2 (80% range 24 to 69)
Actual: Ball State 10 – Eastern Michigan 24 (margin error 14.3, total error 12.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.76% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.