Predicted scoreLean
Arizona
28.5
Stanford
22.2
Stanford win probability: 34%
Margin (Stanford − Arizona): -6.3 (80% range -27 to 14)
Total: 50.7 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Arizona 21 – Stanford 20 (margin error 5.3, total error 9.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 14 | 0.76% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.