2023 Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023, 9:00 PM · AmFirst Stadium

Eastern Michigan @ Jacksonville State

Predicted scoreConfident

Eastern Michigan

15.6

Jacksonville State

31.8

Jacksonville State win probability: 85%

Margin (Jacksonville State − Eastern Michigan): 16.1 (80% range -3 to 35)

Total: 47.4 (80% range 26 to 71)

Actual: Eastern Michigan 0 – Jacksonville State 21 (margin error 4.9, total error 26.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.