2024 Postseason · Dec 22, 2024, 1:00 AM · Ohio Stadium
Tennessee @ Ohio State
Predicted scoreLikely
Tennessee
22.4
Ohio State
30.9
Ohio State win probability: 70%
Margin (Ohio State − Tennessee): 8.5 (80% range -12 to 29)
Total: 53.3 (80% range 31 to 78)
Actual: Tennessee 17 – Ohio State 42 (margin error 16.5, total error 5.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.