Predicted scoreConfident
Akron
14.0
Kentucky
39.0
Kentucky win probability: 95%
Margin (Kentucky − Akron): 25.0 (80% range 4 to 45)
Total: 53.1 (80% range 31 to 76)
Actual: Akron 3 – Kentucky 35 (margin error 7.0, total error 15.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 31 | 0.92% |
| 7 | 35 | 0.85% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.84% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.81% |
| 10 | 35 | 0.80% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.