2023 Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023, 9:00 PM · Spartan Stadium
Washington @ Michigan State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Washington
31.0
Michigan State
27.1
Michigan State win probability: 41%
Margin (Michigan State − Washington): -3.9 (80% range -25 to 17)
Total: 58.1 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Washington 41 – Michigan State 7 (margin error 30.1, total error 10.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.59% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.