Predicted scoreLean
UAB
32.4
UL Monroe
24.7
UL Monroe win probability: 32%
Margin (UL Monroe − UAB): -7.7 (80% range -28 to 14)
Total: 57.2 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: UAB 6 – UL Monroe 32 (margin error 33.7, total error 19.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.65% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.