2024 Postseason · Dec 20, 2024, 12:00 AM · Caesars Superdome (neutral site)

Georgia Southern @ Sam Houston

Predicted scoreToss-up

Georgia Southern

26.7

Sam Houston

24.1

Sam Houston win probability: 44%

Margin (Sam Houston − Georgia Southern): -2.6 (80% range -23 to 17)

Total: 50.7 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: Georgia Southern 26 – Sam Houston 31 (margin error 7.6, total error 6.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.