2023 Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023, 11:00 PM · Jones AT&T Stadium
Oregon @ Texas Tech
Predicted scoreLean
Oregon
33.6
Texas Tech
28.2
Texas Tech win probability: 37%
Margin (Texas Tech − Oregon): -5.4 (80% range -27 to 17)
Total: 61.9 (80% range 37 to 89)
Actual: Oregon 38 – Texas Tech 30 (margin error 2.6, total error 6.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.61% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.57% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.56% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.