2023 Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023, 11:00 PM · Kyle Field
New Mexico @ Texas A&M
Predicted scoreConfident
New Mexico
10.5
Texas A&M
38.6
Texas A&M win probability: 97%
Margin (Texas A&M − New Mexico): 28.2 (80% range 8 to 49)
Total: 49.1 (80% range 28 to 72)
Actual: New Mexico 10 – Texas A&M 52 (margin error 13.8, total error 12.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 38 | 1.09% |
| 7 | 31 | 1.07% |
| 7 | 35 | 1.02% |
| 7 | 28 | 0.98% |
| 0 | 31 | 0.94% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.