Predicted scoreLean
Army
29.7
UL Monroe
21.9
UL Monroe win probability: 31%
Margin (UL Monroe − Army): -7.7 (80% range -28 to 13)
Total: 51.6 (80% range 29 to 76)
Actual: Army 13 – UL Monroe 17 (margin error 11.7, total error 21.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 14 | 0.80% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.73% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.72% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.