2023 Week 1 · Aug 26, 2023, 11:30 PM · FirstBank Stadium
Hawai'i @ Vanderbilt
Predicted scoreLikely
Hawai'i
20.5
Vanderbilt
35.6
Vanderbilt win probability: 83%
Margin (Vanderbilt − Hawai'i): 15.1 (80% range -6 to 35)
Total: 56.1 (80% range 33 to 80)
Actual: Hawai'i 28 – Vanderbilt 35 (margin error 8.1, total error 6.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 38 | 0.77% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.66% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.