2024 Week 15 · Dec 7, 2024, 5:00 PM · AT&T Stadium (neutral site)

Iowa State @ Arizona State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Iowa State

29.3

Arizona State

25.6

Arizona State win probability: 41%

Margin (Arizona State − Iowa State): -3.7 (80% range -24 to 17)

Total: 55.0 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Iowa State 19 – Arizona State 45 (margin error 29.7, total error 9.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.