2023 Week 1 · Aug 26, 2023, 9:30 PM · AmFirst Stadium
UTEP @ Jacksonville State
Predicted scoreLikely
UTEP
21.5
Jacksonville State
33.8
Jacksonville State win probability: 75%
Margin (Jacksonville State − UTEP): 12.3 (80% range -11 to 35)
Total: 55.3 (80% range 34 to 77)
Actual: UTEP 14 – Jacksonville State 17 (margin error 9.3, total error 24.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 34 | 0.44% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.41% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.41% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.39% |
| 24 | 34 | 0.39% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.