2024 Week 15 · Dec 7, 2024, 5:00 PM · Ford Field (neutral site)

Ohio @ Miami (OH)

Predicted scoreLean

Ohio

22.1

Miami (OH)

26.1

Miami (OH) win probability: 61%

Margin (Miami (OH) − Ohio): 4.0 (80% range -15 to 24)

Total: 48.2 (80% range 27 to 72)

Actual: Ohio 38 – Miami (OH) 3 (margin error 39.0, total error 7.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.