Predicted scoreToss-up
Tulane
25.4
Army
23.7
Army win probability: 46%
Margin (Army − Tulane): -1.8 (80% range -21 to 18)
Total: 49.1 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Tulane 14 – Army 35 (margin error 22.8, total error 0.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 21 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 14 | 14 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.