Predicted scoreLikely
Houston
16.5
BYU
29.4
BYU win probability: 80%
Margin (BYU − Houston): 13.0 (80% range -7 to 32)
Total: 45.9 (80% range 24 to 69)
Actual: Houston 18 – BYU 30 (margin error 1.0, total error 2.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 24 | 0.90% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.79% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.75% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.