2024 Week 14 · Dec 1, 2024, 1:00 AM · Bridgeforth Stadium
Marshall @ James Madison
Predicted scoreLean
Marshall
24.2
James Madison
30.2
James Madison win probability: 65%
Margin (James Madison − Marshall): 6.0 (80% range -14 to 27)
Total: 54.5 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Marshall 35 – James Madison 33 (margin error 8.0, total error 13.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.