2024 Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024, 11:00 PM · Nippert Stadium
TCU @ Cincinnati
Predicted scoreToss-up
TCU
30.7
Cincinnati
27.8
Cincinnati win probability: 43%
Margin (Cincinnati − TCU): -2.9 (80% range -24 to 18)
Total: 58.5 (80% range 34 to 84)
Actual: TCU 20 – Cincinnati 13 (margin error 4.1, total error 25.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.57% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.