2024 Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024, 8:30 PM · Beaver Stadium
Maryland @ Penn State
Predicted scoreLikely
Maryland
19.8
Penn State
35.5
Penn State win probability: 84%
Margin (Penn State − Maryland): 15.7 (80% range -4 to 37)
Total: 55.2 (80% range 32 to 80)
Actual: Maryland 7 – Penn State 44 (margin error 21.3, total error 4.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.70% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.