Predicted scoreLikely
Auburn
17.1
Alabama
32.4
Alabama win probability: 84%
Margin (Alabama − Auburn): 15.3 (80% range -4 to 35)
Total: 49.5 (80% range 27 to 73)
Actual: Auburn 14 – Alabama 28 (margin error 1.3, total error 7.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.79% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.76% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.