2024 Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024, 5:00 PM · FirstBank Stadium
Tennessee @ Vanderbilt
Predicted scoreLikely
Tennessee
33.0
Vanderbilt
21.8
Vanderbilt win probability: 24%
Margin (Vanderbilt − Tennessee): -11.2 (80% range -32 to 9)
Total: 54.8 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Tennessee 36 – Vanderbilt 23 (margin error 1.8, total error 4.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.63% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.