Predicted scoreToss-up
Nebraska
20.2
Iowa
24.1
Iowa win probability: 60%
Margin (Iowa − Nebraska): 3.9 (80% range -15 to 24)
Total: 44.3 (80% range 24 to 66)
Actual: Nebraska 10 – Iowa 13 (margin error 0.9, total error 21.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.72% |
| 14 | 14 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.