2024 Week 13 · Nov 24, 2024, 12:30 AM · Rice-Eccles Stadium
Iowa State @ Utah
Predicted scoreLean
Iowa State
26.9
Utah
19.7
Utah win probability: 32%
Margin (Utah − Iowa State): -7.1 (80% range -27 to 13)
Total: 46.6 (80% range 24 to 69)
Actual: Iowa State 31 – Utah 28 (margin error 4.1, total error 12.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.90% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.71% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.