Predicted scoreLikely
Alabama
30.0
Oklahoma
20.3
Oklahoma win probability: 27%
Margin (Oklahoma − Alabama): -9.7 (80% range -29 to 10)
Total: 50.3 (80% range 28 to 74)
Actual: Alabama 3 – Oklahoma 24 (margin error 30.7, total error 23.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.