Predicted scoreLean
Baylor
28.9
Houston
23.9
Houston win probability: 38%
Margin (Houston − Baylor): -5.0 (80% range -25 to 15)
Total: 52.9 (80% range 30 to 77)
Actual: Baylor 20 – Houston 10 (margin error 5.0, total error 22.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.86% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.