2024 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024, 8:30 PM · California Memorial Stadium

Stanford @ California

Predicted scoreLikely

Stanford

19.7

California

31.1

California win probability: 77%

Margin (California − Stanford): 11.3 (80% range -8 to 31)

Total: 50.8 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: Stanford 21 – California 24 (margin error 8.3, total error 5.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.