2024 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024, 8:30 PM · Maverik Stadium
San Diego State @ Utah State
Predicted scoreLean
San Diego State
23.8
Utah State
30.3
Utah State win probability: 66%
Margin (Utah State − San Diego State): 6.6 (80% range -14 to 28)
Total: 54.1 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: San Diego State 20 – Utah State 41 (margin error 14.4, total error 6.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.