Predicted scoreLikely
Arizona
25.8
TCU
34.5
TCU win probability: 70%
Margin (TCU − Arizona): 8.7 (80% range -13 to 30)
Total: 60.3 (80% range 35 to 86)
Actual: Arizona 28 – TCU 49 (margin error 12.3, total error 16.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.63% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 21 | 28 | 0.55% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.