2024 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024, 8:00 PM · Fifth Third Stadium
Florida International @ Kennesaw State
Predicted scoreLean
Florida International
25.9
Kennesaw State
20.0
Kennesaw State win probability: 35%
Margin (Kennesaw State − Florida International): -6.0 (80% range -25 to 14)
Total: 45.9 (80% range 24 to 69)
Actual: Florida International 26 – Kennesaw State 27 (margin error 7.0, total error 7.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 17 | 0.85% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.85% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.