Predicted scoreConfident
UTEP
6.5
Tennessee
39.4
Tennessee win probability: 99%
Margin (Tennessee − UTEP): 32.9 (80% range 14 to 53)
Total: 45.8 (80% range 24 to 68)
Actual: UTEP 0 – Tennessee 56 (margin error 23.1, total error 10.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 38 | 1.77% |
| 0 | 31 | 1.75% |
| 0 | 35 | 1.57% |
| 0 | 28 | 1.49% |
| 0 | 45 | 1.48% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.