2024 Week 13 · Nov 20, 2024, 12:30 AM · Kelly/Shorts Stadium

Western Michigan @ Central Michigan

Predicted scoreLean

Western Michigan

30.5

Central Michigan

25.8

Central Michigan win probability: 39%

Margin (Central Michigan − Western Michigan): -4.8 (80% range -25 to 16)

Total: 56.3 (80% range 33 to 81)

Actual: Western Michigan 14 – Central Michigan 16 (margin error 6.8, total error 26.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.