2024 Week 12 · Nov 17, 2024, 2:30 AM · University Stadium (NM)
Washington State @ New Mexico
Predicted scoreLikely
Washington State
38.3
New Mexico
26.9
New Mexico win probability: 25%
Margin (New Mexico − Washington State): -11.4 (80% range -32 to 10)
Total: 65.1 (80% range 40 to 92)
Actual: Washington State 35 – New Mexico 38 (margin error 14.4, total error 7.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 38 | 21 | 0.61% |
| 35 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.60% |
| 35 | 21 | 0.59% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.