2024 Week 12 · Nov 17, 2024, 2:30 AM · University Stadium (NM)

Washington State @ New Mexico

Predicted scoreLikely

Washington State

38.3

New Mexico

26.9

New Mexico win probability: 25%

Margin (New Mexico − Washington State): -11.4 (80% range -32 to 10)

Total: 65.1 (80% range 40 to 92)

Actual: Washington State 35 – New Mexico 38 (margin error 14.4, total error 7.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.