2024 Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024, 7:30 PM · Kroger Field
South Carolina @ Kentucky
Predicted scoreLikely
South Carolina
20.3
Kentucky
29.5
Kentucky win probability: 73%
Margin (Kentucky − South Carolina): 9.2 (80% range -10 to 28)
Total: 49.8 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: South Carolina 31 – Kentucky 6 (margin error 34.2, total error 12.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 21 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.