2024 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024, 9:00 PM · Allen E. Paulson Stadium

Troy @ Georgia Southern

Predicted scoreToss-up

Troy

25.2

Georgia Southern

26.2

Georgia Southern win probability: 52%

Margin (Georgia Southern − Troy): 0.9 (80% range -19 to 21)

Total: 51.4 (80% range 28 to 76)

Actual: Troy 28 – Georgia Southern 20 (margin error 8.9, total error 3.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.