2024 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024, 9:00 PM · S.B. Ballard Stadium

James Madison @ Old Dominion

Predicted scoreLean

James Madison

28.3

Old Dominion

24.1

Old Dominion win probability: 40%

Margin (Old Dominion − James Madison): -4.2 (80% range -24 to 17)

Total: 52.4 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: James Madison 35 – Old Dominion 32 (margin error 1.2, total error 14.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.